2025 Postseason · Dec 18, 2025, 1:30 AM · Hancock Whitney Stadium (neutral site)

Louisiana @ Delaware

Predicted scoreToss-up

Louisiana

29.2

Delaware

28.2

Delaware win probability: 48%

Margin (Delaware − Louisiana): -1.0 (80% range -24 to 22)

Total: 57.3 (80% range 36 to 80)

Actual: Louisiana 13 – Delaware 20 (margin error 8.0, total error 24.3)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.