Illinois

Big Ten

2023 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Past prediction accuracy — 2023

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	vs Toledo	28–30	18.5–32.2	11.8
Week 2	@ Kansas	34–23	30.6–30.5	10.8
Week 3	vs Penn State	30–13	32.5–22.7	7.2
Week 4	vs Florida Atlantic	17–23	17.7–32.1	8.4
Week 5	@ Purdue	44–19	26.9–26.4	24.4
Week 6	vs Nebraska	20–7	23.6–27.2	16.6
Week 7	@ Maryland	24–27	33.2–20.8	15.4
Week 8	vs Wisconsin	25–21	26.3–21.4	0.9
Week 10	@ Minnesota	26–27	27.1–24.5	3.6
Week 11	vs Indiana	45–48	24.6–28.2	0.6
Week 12	@ Iowa	15–13	22.0–19.6	0.3
Week 13	vs Northwestern	45–43	24.9–27.7	4.8