Illinois
Big Ten
2024 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2024
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | vs Kansas | 17–23 | 28.5–28.7 | 5.8 |
| Week 3 | vs Central Michigan | 9–30 | 16.1–37.3 | 0.2 |
| Week 4 | @ Nebraska | 24–31 | 27.4–23.8 | 10.6 |
| Week 5 | @ Penn State | 21–7 | 33.8–17.8 | 2.0 |
| Week 7 | vs Purdue | 49–50 | 18.6–34.5 | 14.9 |
| Week 8 | vs Michigan | 7–21 | 29.3–21.2 | 22.1 |
| Week 9 | @ Oregon | 38–9 | 35.9–21.0 | 14.0 |
| Week 10 | vs Minnesota | 25–17 | 26.8–26.1 | 7.3 |
| Week 12 | vs Michigan State | 16–38 | 22.2–27.6 | 16.6 |
| Week 13 | @ Rutgers | 31–38 | 28.4–28.2 | 7.2 |
| Week 14 | @ Northwestern | 28–38 | 20.1–29.6 | 0.5 |
| Week 1 | vs South Carolina | 17–21 | 26.5–23.3 | 7.3 |