2024 Week 3 · Sep 14, 2024, 4:00 PM · Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)

Central Michigan @ Illinois

Predicted scoreConfident

Central Michigan

16.1

Illinois

37.3

Illinois win probability: 91%

Margin (Illinois − Central Michigan): 21.2 (80% range 0 to 42)

Total: 53.4 (80% range 31 to 78)

Actual: Central Michigan 9 – Illinois 30 (margin error 0.2, total error 14.4)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.