Illinois
Big Ten
2016 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2016
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | vs North Carolina | 48–23 | — | — |
| Week 3 | vs Western Michigan | 34–10 | — | — |
| Week 5 | @ Nebraska | 31–16 | — | — |
| Week 6 | vs Purdue | 34–31 | — | — |
| Week 7 | @ Rutgers | 7–24 | — | — |
| Week 8 | @ Michigan | 41–8 | — | — |
| Week 9 | vs Minnesota | 40–17 | — | — |
| Week 10 | vs Michigan State | 27–31 | — | — |
| Week 11 | @ Wisconsin | 48–3 | — | — |
| Week 12 | vs Iowa | 28–0 | — | — |
| Week 13 | @ Northwestern | 42–21 | — | — |