Illinois

Big Ten

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 8	vs Oregon	30.2–23.7	34%
Week 9	@ Maryland	25.4–30.9	63%
Week 10	vs Nebraska	31.9–25.9	36%
Week 11	@ UCLA	32.2–23.4	29%
Week 12	vs Iowa	30.1–24.2	36%
Week 13	@ Northwestern	35.0–24.3	26%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	vs UAB	23–42	15.7–37.1	2.4
Week 2	vs Duke	31–27	26.9–29.2	6.3
Week 3	vs Southern Illinois	10–48	—	—
Week 4	@ Ohio State	42–19	39.2–16.5	0.3
Week 5	vs Purdue	24–17	27.5–37.1	16.6
Week 6	@ Michigan State	37–38	26.3–28.5	1.2