Predicted scoreLean
Illinois
29.7
UCLA
25.4
UCLA win probability: 39%
Margin (UCLA − Illinois): -4.3 (80% range -25 to 17)
Total: 55.1 (80% range 31 to 80)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.64% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.57% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:38 PM | -4.4 | 55.1 | 39% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:28 PM | -4.4 | 55.1 | 39% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:32:32 PM | -4.3 | 55.1 | 39% |