Predicted scoreToss-up
Illinois
27.5
Maryland
24.6
Maryland win probability: 43%
Margin (Maryland − Illinois): -2.9 (80% range -23 to 17)
Total: 52.1 (80% range 30 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.71% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.66% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:01 PM | -2.9 | 52.1 | 42% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:05 PM | -2.9 | 52.1 | 42% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:12 PM | -2.9 | 52.1 | 43% |