2026 Week 13 · Nov 28, 2026, 5:00 AM · Ryan Field
Illinois @ Northwestern
Predicted scoreToss-up
Illinois
26.7
Northwestern
25.6
Northwestern win probability: 47%
Margin (Northwestern − Illinois): -1.1 (80% range -21 to 20)
Total: 52.3 (80% range 30 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.67% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:57:06 PM | -1.1 | 52.3 | 47% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:07:02 PM | -1.1 | 52.4 | 47% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:17 PM | -1.1 | 52.3 | 47% |