Predicted scoreLean
Nebraska
24.2
Illinois
28.2
Illinois win probability: 60%
Margin (Illinois − Nebraska): 4.0 (80% range -17 to 24)
Total: 52.5 (80% range 30 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 21 | 0.65% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:14 PM | 4.0 | 52.4 | 60% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:13 PM | 4.0 | 52.5 | 60% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:48 PM | 4.0 | 52.5 | 60% |