2024 Week 4 · Sep 21, 2024, 12:00 AM · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)

Illinois @ Nebraska

Predicted scoreToss-up

Illinois

23.8

Nebraska

27.4

Nebraska win probability: 59%

Margin (Nebraska − Illinois): 3.6 (80% range -17 to 24)

Total: 51.2 (80% range 28 to 75)

Actual: Illinois 31 – Nebraska 24 (margin error 10.6, total error 3.8)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.