2024 Postseason · Dec 31, 2024, 8:00 PM · Camping World Stadium (neutral site)

South Carolina @ Illinois

Predicted scoreToss-up

South Carolina

26.5

Illinois

23.3

Illinois win probability: 42%

Margin (Illinois − South Carolina): -3.3 (80% range -24 to 17)

Total: 49.8 (80% range 27 to 73)

Actual: South Carolina 17 – Illinois 21 (margin error 7.3, total error 11.8)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.