2024 Week 7 · Oct 12, 2024, 7:30 PM · Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)

Purdue @ Illinois

Predicted scoreLikely

Purdue

18.6

Illinois

34.5

Illinois win probability: 84%

Margin (Illinois − Purdue): 15.9 (80% range -4 to 36)

Total: 53.0 (80% range 31 to 77)

Actual: Purdue 49 – Illinois 50 (margin error 14.9, total error 46.0)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.