2024 Week 2 · Sep 7, 2024, 11:00 PM · Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)

Kansas @ Illinois

Predicted scoreToss-up

Kansas

28.5

Illinois

28.7

Illinois win probability: 51%

Margin (Illinois − Kansas): 0.2 (80% range -21 to 21)

Total: 57.3 (80% range 34 to 83)

Actual: Kansas 17 – Illinois 23 (margin error 5.8, total error 17.3)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.