2023 Week 6 · Oct 7, 2023, 12:00 AM · Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)

Nebraska @ Illinois

Predicted scoreToss-up

Nebraska

23.6

Illinois

27.2

Illinois win probability: 59%

Margin (Illinois − Nebraska): 3.6 (80% range -17 to 24)

Total: 50.8 (80% range 28 to 75)

Actual: Nebraska 20 – Illinois 7 (margin error 16.6, total error 23.8)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.