2023 Week 13 · Nov 25, 2023, 8:30 PM · Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)

Northwestern @ Illinois

Predicted scoreToss-up

Northwestern

24.9

Illinois

27.7

Illinois win probability: 57%

Margin (Illinois − Northwestern): 2.8 (80% range -17 to 24)

Total: 52.6 (80% range 30 to 77)

Actual: Northwestern 45 – Illinois 43 (margin error 4.8, total error 35.4)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.