Fresno State
Pac-12
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Kansas | 31–7 | 33.3–22.9 | 13.6 |
| Week 1 | vs Georgia Southern | 14–42 | 25.2–27.1 | 26.1 |
| Week 2 | @ Oregon State | 27–36 | 25.2–27.1 | 7.1 |
| Week 4 | @ Hawai'i | 21–23 | 23.8–30.1 | 4.3 |
| Week 6 | vs Nevada | 17–20 | 20.6–29.5 | 6.0 |
| Week 7 | @ Colorado State | 49–21 | 25.2–26.7 | 29.4 |
| Week 9 | vs San Diego State | 23–0 | 24.2–23.3 | 22.2 |
| Week 10 | @ Boise State | 7–30 | 30.3–18.7 | 34.6 |
| Week 12 | vs Wyoming | 3–24 | 20.5–23.3 | 18.1 |
| Week 13 | vs Utah State | 28–17 | 25.5–26.2 | 11.7 |
| Week 14 | @ San José State | 14–41 | 23.2–24.7 | 25.5 |
| Week 1 | vs Miami (OH) | 3–18 | 26.9–22.7 | 19.2 |