Fresno State
Pac-12
2024 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2024
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Michigan | 30–10 | 40.7–13.2 | 7.5 |
| Week 3 | vs New Mexico State | 0–48 | 20.7–34.7 | 34.0 |
| Week 4 | @ New Mexico | 21–38 | 20.8–37.7 | 0.1 |
| Week 5 | @ UNLV | 59–14 | 26.3–21.9 | 40.6 |
| Week 7 | vs Washington State | 25–17 | 27.4–26.7 | 7.3 |
| Week 8 | @ Nevada | 21–24 | 26.5–26.5 | 3.0 |
| Week 9 | vs San José State | 10–33 | 26.8–27.1 | 22.7 |
| Week 10 | vs Hawai'i | 21–20 | 21.7–32.5 | 11.8 |
| Week 11 | @ Air Force | 36–28 | 19.3–24.1 | 12.8 |
| Week 13 | vs Colorado State | 22–28 | 22.6–28.2 | 0.4 |
| Week 14 | @ UCLA | 20–13 | 30.8–20.8 | 3.0 |
| Week 1 | vs Northern Illinois | 28–20 | 24.8–32.0 | 15.2 |