2024 Week 13 · Nov 24, 2024, 3:30 AM · Valley Children's Stadium

Colorado State @ Fresno State

Predicted scoreLean

Colorado State

22.6

Fresno State

28.2

Fresno State win probability: 64%

Margin (Fresno State − Colorado State): 5.6 (80% range -14 to 26)

Total: 50.7 (80% range 28 to 75)

Actual: Colorado State 22 – Fresno State 28 (margin error 0.4, total error 0.7)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.