2024 Week 10 · Nov 2, 2024, 11:00 PM · Valley Children's Stadium

Hawai'i @ Fresno State

Predicted scoreLikely

Hawai'i

21.7

Fresno State

32.5

Fresno State win probability: 75%

Margin (Fresno State − Hawai'i): 10.8 (80% range -10 to 31)

Total: 54.2 (80% range 31 to 79)

Actual: Hawai'i 21 – Fresno State 20 (margin error 11.8, total error 13.2)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.