2024 Week 9 · Oct 27, 2024, 12:00 AM · Valley Children's Stadium

San José State @ Fresno State

Predicted scoreToss-up

San José State

26.8

Fresno State

27.1

Fresno State win probability: 51%

Margin (Fresno State − San José State): 0.3 (80% range -20 to 21)

Total: 53.9 (80% range 31 to 79)

Actual: San José State 10 – Fresno State 33 (margin error 22.7, total error 10.9)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.