Fresno State
Pac-12
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Purdue | 35–39 | 31.0–23.6 | 11.4 |
| Week 3 | @ Arizona State | 0–29 | 28.5–26.4 | 31.0 |
| Week 4 | vs Kent State | 10–53 | 16.0–38.9 | 20.1 |
| Week 5 | vs Nevada | 9–27 | 14.5–34.2 | 1.7 |
| Week 6 | @ Wyoming | 24–19 | 20.1–29.8 | 14.7 |
| Week 7 | @ Utah State | 32–37 | 22.9–33.2 | 5.2 |
| Week 9 | vs UNLV | 24–31 | 21.5–34.1 | 5.6 |
| Week 10 | vs Boise State | 30–37 | 26.0–30.8 | 2.2 |
| Week 11 | @ San José State | 42–18 | 27.4–30.8 | 27.4 |
| Week 12 | vs New Mexico | 25–17 | 18.3–39.5 | 29.2 |
| Week 13 | @ San Diego State | 33–18 | 22.1–29.8 | 22.7 |
| Week 1 | vs New Mexico State | 10–37 | 22.6–36.7 | 12.9 |