2023 Week 6 · Oct 8, 2023, 12:00 AM · War Memorial Stadium

Fresno State @ Wyoming

Predicted scoreLikely

Fresno State

29.8

Wyoming

20.1

Wyoming win probability: 26%

Margin (Wyoming − Fresno State): -9.7 (80% range -30 to 10)

Total: 50.0 (80% range 27 to 73)

Actual: Fresno State 19 – Wyoming 24 (margin error 14.7, total error 7.0)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.