2024 Week 7 · Oct 12, 2024, 11:00 PM · Valley Children's Stadium

Washington State @ Fresno State

Predicted scoreToss-up

Washington State

27.4

Fresno State

26.7

Fresno State win probability: 48%

Margin (Fresno State − Washington State): -0.7 (80% range -21 to 20)

Total: 54.0 (80% range 31 to 79)

Actual: Washington State 25 – Fresno State 17 (margin error 7.3, total error 12.0)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.