2025 Week 2 · Sep 6, 2025, 7:30 PM · Reser Stadium
Fresno State @ Oregon State
Predicted scoreToss-up
Fresno State
27.1
Oregon State
25.2
Oregon State win probability: 45%
Margin (Oregon State − Fresno State): -1.9 (80% range -21 to 18)
Total: 52.3 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: Fresno State 36 – Oregon State 27 (margin error 7.1, total error 10.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.84% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.67% |
| 28 | 21 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.