2025 Week 12 · Nov 16, 2025, 3:30 AM · Valley Children's Stadium

Wyoming @ Fresno State

Predicted scoreToss-up

Wyoming

20.5

Fresno State

23.3

Fresno State win probability: 58%

Margin (Fresno State − Wyoming): 2.9 (80% range -17 to 21)

Total: 43.8 (80% range 23 to 66)

Actual: Wyoming 3 – Fresno State 24 (margin error 18.1, total error 16.8)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.