2025 Week 7 · Oct 11, 2025, 1:00 AM · Canvas Stadium
Fresno State @ Colorado State
Predicted scoreToss-up
Fresno State
26.7
Colorado State
25.2
Colorado State win probability: 46%
Margin (Colorado State − Fresno State): -1.4 (80% range -21 to 18)
Total: 51.9 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: Fresno State 21 – Colorado State 49 (margin error 29.4, total error 18.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 31 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.