Rice
American Athletic
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Louisiana | 12–14 | 31.6–18.1 | 15.4 |
| Week 2 | vs Houston | 35–9 | 30.0–16.7 | 12.7 |
| Week 4 | @ Charlotte | 17–28 | 24.7–24.8 | 10.9 |
| Week 5 | @ Navy | 21–13 | 31.4–14.7 | 8.7 |
| Week 6 | vs Florida Atlantic | 27–21 | 22.3–27.3 | 10.9 |
| Week 7 | @ UTSA | 61–13 | 30.3–20.8 | 38.5 |
| Week 9 | vs UConn | 34–37 | 30.9–22.7 | 11.2 |
| Week 10 | vs Memphis | 38–14 | 31.6–21.2 | 13.6 |
| Week 11 | vs UAB | 17–24 | 25.6–25.6 | 7.0 |
| Week 13 | vs North Texas | 56–24 | 35.9–19.3 | 15.4 |
| Week 14 | @ South Florida | 52–3 | 35.4–15.4 | 29.0 |
| Week 1 | @ Texas State | 41–10 | 31.9–19.8 | 18.9 |