Rice

American Athletic

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 8	@ Florida Atlantic	32.2–23.0	28%
Week 10	@ North Texas	39.1–18.9	11%
Week 11	vs Tulane	31.5–16.8	17%
Week 12	@ Temple	32.4–23.3	28%
Week 13	vs Army	31.4–19.7	22%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	vs Houston Christian	3–31	—	—
Week 2	@ Notre Dame	52–0	45.7–6.4	12.7
Week 3	vs Western Michigan	28–21	28.5–20.0	1.5
Week 4	@ Fresno State	38–24	32.5–14.9	3.6
Week 5	vs UTSA	16–14	35.2–17.8	15.4
Week 6	@ East Carolina	28–12	33.3–17.7	0.4
Week 7	vs Tulsa	38–17	29.3–22.5	14.1