Rice
American Athletic
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Texas | 37–10 | 42.8–11.7 | 4.1 |
| Week 2 | vs Houston | 41–43 | 34.4–17.4 | 19.0 |
| Week 4 | @ South Florida | 42–29 | 31.0–19.0 | 0.9 |
| Week 5 | vs East Carolina | 17–24 | 32.3–27.1 | 12.2 |
| Week 6 | vs UConn | 38–31 | 21.9–28.6 | 13.7 |
| Week 8 | @ Tulsa | 10–42 | 29.9–22.6 | 39.4 |
| Week 9 | vs Tulane | 30–28 | 29.5–21.8 | 5.7 |
| Week 10 | vs SMU | 36–31 | 30.8–23.8 | 2.0 |
| Week 11 | @ UTSA | 34–14 | 30.1–23.6 | 13.4 |
| Week 12 | @ Charlotte | 7–28 | 23.6–26.7 | 17.9 |
| Week 13 | vs Florida Atlantic | 21–24 | 22.9–27.0 | 1.2 |
| Week 1 | vs Texas State | 45–21 | 26.4–22.7 | 20.2 |