Predicted scoreLean
Tulane
29.5
Rice
21.8
Rice win probability: 31%
Margin (Rice − Tulane): -7.7 (80% range -28 to 12)
Total: 51.2 (80% range 28 to 75)
Actual: Tulane 30 – Rice 28 (margin error 5.7, total error 6.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.80% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.69% |
| 38 | 17 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.