Predicted scoreConfident
Houston
34.4
Rice
17.4
Rice win probability: 14%
Margin (Rice − Houston): -17.0 (80% range -38 to 3)
Total: 51.8 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: Houston 41 – Rice 43 (margin error 19.0, total error 32.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 14 | 0.85% |
| 24 | 7 | 0.69% |
| 38 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.68% |
| 35 | 14 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.