2023 Week 1 · Sep 2, 2023, 7:30 PM · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium

Rice @ Texas

Predicted scoreConfident

Rice

11.7

Texas

42.8

Texas win probability: 98%

Margin (Texas − Rice): 31.1 (80% range 10 to 52)

Total: 54.5 (80% range 31 to 79)

Actual: Rice 10 – Texas 37 (margin error 4.1, total error 7.5)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.