Predicted scoreConfident
Rice
11.7
Texas
42.8
Texas win probability: 98%
Margin (Texas − Rice): 31.1 (80% range 10 to 52)
Total: 54.5 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: Rice 10 – Texas 37 (margin error 4.1, total error 7.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 45 | 0.97% |
| 7 | 38 | 0.95% |
| 10 | 45 | 0.93% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.83% |
| 0 | 38 | 0.78% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.