Predicted scoreLean
UConn
21.9
Rice
28.6
Rice win probability: 67%
Margin (Rice − UConn): 6.7 (80% range -14 to 27)
Total: 50.5 (80% range 28 to 75)
Actual: UConn 38 – Rice 31 (margin error 13.7, total error 18.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 24 | 0.75% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.71% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.