2023 Week 12 · Nov 18, 2023, 7:00 PM · Jerry Richardson Stadium

Rice @ Charlotte

Predicted scoreToss-up

Rice

26.7

Charlotte

23.6

Charlotte win probability: 42%

Margin (Charlotte − Rice): -3.1 (80% range -24 to 17)

Total: 50.3 (80% range 28 to 74)

Actual: Rice 28 – Charlotte 7 (margin error 17.9, total error 15.3)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.