Rice
American Athletic
2024 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2024
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs Sam Houston | 34–14 | 23.9–26.4 | 22.5 |
| Week 3 | @ Houston | 33–7 | 32.4–17.4 | 11.0 |
| Week 4 | @ Army | 37–14 | 28.7–15.8 | 10.1 |
| Week 5 | vs Charlotte | 21–20 | 23.8–28.5 | 5.7 |
| Week 7 | vs UTSA | 27–29 | 24.5–21.2 | 5.2 |
| Week 8 | @ Tulane | 24–10 | 33.0–18.8 | 0.2 |
| Week 9 | @ UConn | 17–10 | 29.8–20.3 | 2.5 |
| Week 10 | vs Navy | 10–24 | 29.6–17.8 | 25.8 |
| Week 11 | @ Memphis | 27–20 | 31.3–22.4 | 1.9 |
| Week 13 | @ UAB | 40–14 | 24.5–27.0 | 28.5 |
| Week 14 | vs South Florida | 28–35 | 27.8–22.4 | 12.3 |