Predicted scoreLikely
Rice
17.4
Houston
32.4
Houston win probability: 83%
Margin (Houston − Rice): 15.0 (80% range -5 to 35)
Total: 49.7 (80% range 27 to 73)
Actual: Rice 7 – Houston 33 (margin error 11.0, total error 9.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.83% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.79% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.75% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.71% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.