Predicted scoreToss-up
Rice
27.0
UAB
24.5
UAB win probability: 44%
Margin (UAB − Rice): -2.5 (80% range -22 to 17)
Total: 51.5 (80% range 28 to 76)
Actual: Rice 14 – UAB 40 (margin error 28.5, total error 2.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 21 | 0.78% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.