Predicted scoreLikely
Rice
20.3
UConn
29.8
UConn win probability: 72%
Margin (UConn − Rice): 9.5 (80% range -10 to 30)
Total: 50.2 (80% range 27 to 74)
Actual: Rice 10 – UConn 17 (margin error 2.5, total error 23.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.84% |
| 14 | 21 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.69% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.68% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.