Predicted scoreLikely
Rice
15.8
Army
28.7
Army win probability: 81%
Margin (Army − Rice): 12.9 (80% range -6 to 32)
Total: 44.5 (80% range 24 to 66)
Actual: Rice 14 – Army 37 (margin error 10.1, total error 6.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 24 | 0.96% |
| 7 | 24 | 0.92% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.89% |
| 7 | 21 | 0.87% |
| 7 | 28 | 0.84% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.