2024 Week 1 · Aug 31, 2024, 11:00 PM · Rice Stadium
Sam Houston @ Rice
Predicted scoreToss-up
Sam Houston
23.9
Rice
26.4
Rice win probability: 56%
Margin (Rice − Sam Houston): 2.5 (80% range -17 to 22)
Total: 50.3 (80% range 28 to 74)
Actual: Sam Houston 34 – Rice 14 (margin error 22.5, total error 2.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.73% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.70% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.