Predicted scoreLean
Charlotte
23.8
Rice
28.5
Rice win probability: 62%
Margin (Rice − Charlotte): 4.7 (80% range -15 to 25)
Total: 52.3 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: Charlotte 21 – Rice 20 (margin error 5.7, total error 11.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.80% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.75% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.75% |
| 24 | 28 | 0.73% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.