Predicted scoreLikely
Tulane
31.5
Rice
16.8
Rice win probability: 17%
Margin (Rice − Tulane): -14.7 (80% range -35 to 5)
Total: 48.3 (80% range 27 to 72)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 10 | 0.90% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.84% |
| 31 | 7 | 0.78% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.78% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.78% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:34 PM | -16.2 | 49.7 | 15% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:31 PM | -16.1 | 49.7 | 15% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:32:46 PM | -16.1 | 49.7 | 15% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:49:53 AM | -16.1 | 49.7 | 15% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:05:17 PM | -16.1 | 49.7 | 15% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:04:15 PM | -14.0 | 49.2 | 18% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:58:02 PM | -14.5 | 45.2 | 17% |
| 9/13/2026, 3:00:19 PM | -17.0 | 44.1 | 13% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:41:49 PM | -17.0 | 44.1 | 13% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:01:00 PM | -15.8 | 44.4 | 14% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:39:33 PM | -15.8 | 44.4 | 14% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:33:38 PM | -14.2 | 52.6 | 18% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:47:55 PM | -13.6 | 51.8 | 19% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:43:40 PM | -11.2 | 50.1 | 24% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:24:16 PM | -14.7 | 48.3 | 17% |