2026 Week 10 · Nov 7, 2026, 5:00 AM · DATCU Stadium
Rice @ North Texas
Predicted scoreConfident
Rice
18.2
North Texas
40.5
North Texas win probability: 91%
Margin (North Texas − Rice): 22.3 (80% range 1 to 43)
Total: 58.7 (80% range 35 to 83)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 38 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.68% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.67% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:19 PM | 22.3 | 58.7 | 91% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:20 PM | 22.3 | 58.7 | 91% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:54 PM | 22.3 | 58.7 | 91% |