Predicted scoreLikely
UTSA
31.6
Rice
19.0
Rice win probability: 21%
Margin (Rice − UTSA): -12.6 (80% range -32 to 7)
Total: 50.6 (80% range 28 to 74)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.80% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.75% |
| 24 | 10 | 0.71% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.69% |
| 38 | 17 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:08 PM | -12.6 | 50.6 | 21% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:09 PM | -12.6 | 50.6 | 21% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:28:41 PM | -12.6 | 50.6 | 21% |