2026 Week 3 · Sep 19, 2026, 11:00 PM · Rice Stadium
Western Michigan @ Rice
Predicted scoreLean
Western Michigan
28.2
Rice
21.0
Rice win probability: 32%
Margin (Rice − Western Michigan): -7.2 (80% range -27 to 13)
Total: 49.2 (80% range 27 to 73)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.74% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.73% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 10 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:39 PM | -7.4 | 49.7 | 32% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:44 PM | -7.3 | 49.5 | 32% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:27:21 PM | -7.2 | 49.2 | 32% |