Predicted scoreLean
UConn
30.9
Rice
22.7
Rice win probability: 31%
Margin (Rice − UConn): -8.2 (80% range -28 to 12)
Total: 53.6 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: UConn 34 – Rice 37 (margin error 11.2, total error 17.4)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 21 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.70% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.61% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.