Purdue

Big Ten

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 9	@ Penn State	35.5–21.3	18%
Week 10	vs Maryland	25.5–31.5	64%
Week 11	@ Iowa	34.7–20.1	18%
Week 12	vs Wisconsin	29.3–24.8	39%
Week 13	@ Indiana	41.4–18.9	8%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	vs Indiana State	19–44	—	—
Week 2	vs Wake Forest	38–36	28.6–26.9	0.3
Week 3	@ UCLA	52–38	33.3–22.9	3.6
Week 4	vs Notre Dame	49–10	41.0–15.3	13.3
Week 5	@ Illinois	17–24	37.1–27.5	16.6
Week 6	vs Minnesota	13–41	26.3–26.4	28.0
Week 7	vs Washington	38–26	28.4–28.1	11.7