2026 Week 7 · Oct 17, 2026, 12:00 AM · Ross-Ade Stadium
Washington @ Purdue
Predicted scoreLikely
Washington
31.7
Purdue
21.3
Purdue win probability: 25%
Margin (Purdue − Washington): -10.4 (80% range -31 to 10)
Total: 53.0 (80% range 30 to 77)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:36 PM | -10.4 | 53.0 | 25% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:33 PM | -9.0 | 52.8 | 28% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:29:44 PM | -10.4 | 53.0 | 25% |