Purdue
Big Ten
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs Fresno State | 39–35 | 23.6–31.0 | 11.4 |
| Week 2 | @ Virginia Tech | 17–24 | 30.1–26.3 | 10.8 |
| Week 3 | vs Syracuse | 35–20 | 22.3–31.7 | 24.4 |
| Week 4 | vs Wisconsin | 38–17 | 30.1–23.7 | 14.6 |
| Week 5 | vs Illinois | 19–44 | 26.4–26.9 | 24.4 |
| Week 6 | @ Iowa | 20–14 | 23.7–22.6 | 5.0 |
| Week 7 | vs Ohio State | 41–7 | 36.1–19.3 | 17.2 |
| Week 9 | @ Nebraska | 31–14 | 26.7–25.6 | 15.9 |
| Week 10 | @ Michigan | 41–13 | 40.1–14.0 | 1.9 |
| Week 11 | vs Minnesota | 30–49 | 27.2–26.7 | 19.5 |
| Week 12 | @ Northwestern | 23–15 | 28.3–27.0 | 6.7 |
| Week 13 | vs Indiana | 31–35 | 26.0–30.8 | 0.8 |